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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012133389
We develop a model of firm learning in volatile markets with noisy signals and test its predictions using historical … improvements from learning are faster where market signals are noisier. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580632
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics emphasizing a complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous agents who do not fully understand their complex environment and use simple decision heuristics. Central to our survey is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929804
New Keynesian theory identifies a set of principles central to the design and implementation of monetary policy. These principles rely on the ability of a central bank to manage expectations precisely, with policy prescriptions typically derived under the assumption of perfect information and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496866
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364410
This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
certain features of monetary policy rules that facilitate learning. However a treatment of policy design for learnability in … worlds where agents have potentially misspecified their learning models has yet to surface. This paper provides such a … understanding of the workings of the economy and that their learning the reduced forms of the economy is subject to potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604639
: rational expectations and learning. We show that in this environment the ability to stabilize the real side of the economy is … private learning and misperceptions of natural rates call for greater policy inertia, a more aggressive response to inflation … economy. We show that such policies are quite robust to potential misspecification of private sector learning and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604810
In this paper we test the Rational Expectations hypothesis using longitudinal data on expectations and realizations of individual welfare for East Germans in the years following reunification. German reunification was unexpected and delivered a large shock to the future prospects of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262741