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A rigorous reconstruction of scenario-based real choice making reveals the incompleteness of decision-modeling and the practical prevalence of uncertainty. Theoretically complete models conceal it. As a remedy a scenario-based procedure of coping with uncertainty can prescribe how the boundedly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283827
This paper analyses the behavior of an individual who wants to maximize his utility function, but he is not able to evaluate it. There are many ways to choose a single alternative from a given set. We show that a unique utility maximizing procedure exists. Choices induced by this optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348351
For non-economists, it is often difficult to understand why economists place so much emphasis on the self-interest motive. It is obvious that people act out of a variety of motives - gratitude, anger, social obligation and many, many other motives. There are several reasons why economists still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425266
An agent wants to derive her belief over outcomes based on past observations collected in her database (memory). There is well establish evidence in the psychology and marketing literature that agents consistently fail (or choose not) to process all available information. An agent might be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403098
Portuguese Abstract: Discuto neste artigo a concepção de racionalidade de Herbert A. Simon em duas de suas principais definições gerais: a racionalidade limitada e a racionalidade procedimental. Argumento que a segunda é a que melhor sintetiza a visão do autor sobre o comportamento...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991744
How do human beings make decisions when, as the evidence indicates, the assumptions of the Bayesian rationality approach in economics do not hold? Do human beings optimize, or can they? Several decades of research have shown that people possess a toolkit of heuristics to make decisions under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926917
How can errors in decision-making by rationally behaving individuals be explained? The concepts of bounded rationality proposed by H. Simon and of imperfect information in the complex reality by F. Hayek attack the over-restrictive assumption of perfectly informed individuals or organisms in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014173109
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