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In this paper we examine house price synchronization in 15 global cities using real house price data from 1995:Q1-2020:Q2. We find that although there is evidence for bilateral positive phase synchronization, there is no evidence for an integrated global housing market for our sample of cities....
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Using real-time data from 1985:Q1-2017:Q3 and simple VAR models, we show that there is substantial pay-off in combining credit supply indicators with house prices for forecasting real economic activity in the U.S. Consistent with the findings in the literature, we show that the forecasts from a...
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We consider which factors determined the price-rent ratio for the housing market in 18 U.S. metropolitan areas (MSAs) and at the national level over the period of 1975 to 2012. Based on a present-value framework, our proposed empirical model separates the price-rent ratio for a given market into...
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This paper studies the dynamic relationship among house prices, income and interest rate in 15 OECD countries. We find that any disequilibrium in the long-run cointegrating relationship among these variables is corrected by the subsequent movement in house prices in most of these countries. This...
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