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Explaining asset price booms poses a difficult question for researchers in macroeconomics: how can large and persistent price growth be explained in the absence large and persistent variation in fundamentals? This paper argues that boom-bust behavior in asset prices can be explained by a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563199
Explaining asset price booms poses a difficult question for researchers in macroeconomics: how can large and persistent price growth be explained in the absence large and persistent variation in fundamentals? This paper argues that boom-bust behavior in asset prices can be explained by a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210456
How do households adjust their spending behavior in response to changes in home price expectations? We conduct a field … experiment with a sample of Americans that links survey data on home price expectations to actual spending behaviour as measured … in a rich home-scanner dataset. In the experiment we exogenously vary households' home price expectations by providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284713
market using shocks to aggregate income, the distribution of income, credit conditions, and expectations of future housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014301444
What is the role of heterogenous house-price expectations for boom-bust cycles in the housing market? We exploit a … unique Dutch panel data set on households' house price expectations and their consumption, savings and housing choices for … the sample on household heads who report non-zero house price expectations, we find that expectations closely track …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265571
Housing markets have a large impact on the macro economy. The recovery of house price declines is usually slow, as transactions decline in a slump. In this paper we present new evidence of list price dynamics in up and down markets, using a novel dataset on actual list prices in the Dutch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076561
I develop a dynamic search model of the housing market in which prices, determined by auction, exhibit greater volatility than prices in the search and matching model with Nash bargaining from the literature. This helps solve the puzzle of excess volatility of house prices. The outcomes of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854225
Home price expectations play a central role in macroeconomics and finance. However, there is little direct evidence on … how these expectations affect market choices. We provide the first experimental evidence based on a large-scale, high … to create non-deceptive, exogenous variation in the subjects' home price expectations. We then used rich administrative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835843
result, making information cheaper does not decrease the cross-sectional dispersion of expectations. We further document that … numeracy and the revealed “taste” for accurate expectations are important correlates of heterogeneity in all stages of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852024
reinforcement between house price expectations and price developments via credit expansion/contraction. Positive (negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051955