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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191285
dramatic volatility and project values can become negative, this paper presents a generalized framework for solving a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929117
There is a wide body of literature in corporate finance that examines the tradeoffs between liquidation and re-organization for creditors in financially distressed firms (Kahl (2002), Hotchkiss (1995), Gertner and Scharfstein (1991)). We incorporate salient elements from this literature into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906066
This paper presents a practical volatility estimation method for cash flow simulation based real option valuation with … changing volatility. During cash flow simulation, present value of the future cash flows and their corresponding cash flow … provide all the information required for estimating how the standard deviation and volatility of the stochastic process change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123815
Avian flu has been the focus of significant attention since 2004, when there were reports of human infections in Asia from the avian flu H5N1 strain. To prevent the catastrophic mortality of mankind, several governments are stockpiling antivirals and pharmaceutical firms are increasing their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206383
We examine the impact on an R&D valuation and its investment timing of abrupt events, options facing paradise (blockbusters) and purgatory (catastrophes). We show that the presence of a special case of Lévy jumps can model positive and negative effects in the investment opportunity even when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117073
Governments and corporations frequently auction assets with embedded real options using both cash and contingent bids. I characterize equilibrium bidding and option exercise strategies, and find that the moral hazard associated with uncontractible investment timing inefficiently and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905552
Despite a good number of scientific developments in innovation, most studies suggest that the most effective innovation project should be only selected for a group of economic indicators related to investment. In practice, it is necessary to create a method for assessing the effectiveness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907798
This paper develops a dynamic option-based model for the valuation of rental and other similarly structured lease contracts under the conditions of uncertainty that is then solved by statistical simulation (Monte Carlo). The motivation, research background and methodology of the paper follow up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515817
This paper proposes an approach for solving a multi-factor real options problem by approximating the underlying stochastic process with an implied binomial tree. The implied binomial tree is constructed to be consistent with simulated market information. By simulating European option prices as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024201