This paper presents a simple framework for the analysis, valuation and simulation of several real options in the presence of shadow costs of incomplete information. Information costs can be viewed as sunk costs in the spirit of Merton's (1987) model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete...

This paper examines the hypothesis that, during merger waves, a bidder's actions are informative for other bidders and the market. I develop a real options model to explore the interplay between acquisition timing and the market reaction to these events in the context of merger waves. The model...

Given that an owner cannot commit to her timing strategy under a manager's hidden action, we consider (i) how the owner's timing decisions to launch a project and to replace the manager or change a project are determined, and (ii) how the optimal compensation contract for the manager is...

Numerous studies have examined the effect on credit spreads of renegotiation. These studies have generally focussed on the impact on spread levels in general, and not on how renegotiation influences the relative pricing of senior versus junior debt claims. In this paper, we show that the scope...

We analyze the real option signaling game models of debt financing of a risky project under information asymmetry, where the firm quality is only known to the firm management but not outsiders. The firm decides on the optimal investment timing of the risky project that requires upfront fixed...

Avian flu has been the focus of significant attention since 2004, when there were reports of human infections in Asia from the avian flu H5N1 strain. To prevent the catastrophic mortality of mankind, several governments are stockpiling antivirals and pharmaceutical firms are increasing their...

Governments and corporations frequently auction assets with embedded real options using both cash and contingent bids. I characterize equilibrium bidding and option exercise strategies, and find that the moral hazard associated with uncontractible investment timing inefficiently and...

This article develops and implements a Real Options approach to value renewable natural resources in the case of Marine Fisheries. The model includes two sources of uncertainty: the resource biomass and the price of fish, and it can be used by fisheries to optimally adapt their harvesting...

This paper describes a real options valuation method for situations where the underlying asset may have negative values and the underlying project present value distribution is something of the shape between normal and lognormal distribution causing skewness to the rate of return distribution....

Start-up firms typically produce negative cash flows in the first years after their foundation. As a consequence, standard discounted cash flow methods are not applicable, often forcing practioneers into using theoretically dissatisfying devices like multiples. In this paper, we develop a...