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This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized … volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular model …-free option-implied volatility (MFIV) when assessing the fractional cointegrating relation as the latter may introduce bias to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090381
This paper revisits the fractional co-integrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized … volatility. Previous studies on stock index options have found biases and inefficiencies in implied volatility as a forecast of … future volatility. It is argued that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280711
-range dependencies are present only in the intraday volatility but not in the intraday returns. Finally, the robustness of these findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312096
For estimating regression function we can use many proceedings. In this paper, we have chosen to apply scaling functions to the estimation of regression functions. When one knows many bivariate date with the values of two variables, in the goal to express a correlation between the two variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051848
This paper studies a model widely used in the weak instruments literature and establishes admissibility of the weighted average power likelihood ratio tests recently derived by Andrews, Moreira, and Stock (2004). The class of tests covered by this admissibility result contains the Anderson and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026286
We propose a hybrid penalized averaging for combining parametric and non-parametric quantile forecasts when faced with a large number of predictors. This approach goes beyond the usual practice of combining conditional mean forecasts from parametric time series models with only a few predictors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859663
In time series regression with nonparametrically autocorrelated errors, it is now standard empirical practice to construct confidence intervals for regression coefficients on the basis of nonparametrically studentized t-statistics. The standard error used in the studentization is typically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771849
This paper considers the estimation of a semi-parametric single-index regression model that allows for nonlinear predictive relationships. This model is useful for predicting financial asset returns, whose observed behavior is described by a stationary process, when the multiple non-stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822931
A new family of kernels is suggested for use in heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) and long run variance (LRV) estimation and robust regression testing. The kernels are constructed by taking powers of the Bartlett kernel and are intended to be used with no truncation (or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088395
This paper develops a method to select the threshold in threshold-based jump detection methods. The method is motivated by an analysis of threshold-based jump detection methods in the context of jump-diffusion models. We show that over the range of sampling frequencies a researcher is most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524214