It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel statistical tools for assessing changes in weather...

We propose a semiparametric measure to estimate systemic interconnectedness across financial institutions based on tail-driven spill-over effects in a ultra-high dimensional framework. Methodologically, we employ a variable selection technique in a time series setting in the context of a...

Financial risk control has always been challenging and becomes now an even harder problem as joint extreme events occur more frequently. For decision makers and government regulators, it is therefore important to obtain accurate information on the interdependency of risk factors. Given a...

We consider theoretical bootstrap "coupling" techniques for nonparametric robust smoothers and quantile regression, and verify the bootstrap improvement. To cope with curse of dimensionality, a variant of "coupling" bootstrap techniques are developed for additive models with both symmetric error...

Conditional quantile curves provide a comprehensive picture of a response contingent on explanatory variables. Quantile regression is a technique to estimate such curves. In a flexible modeling framework, a specific form of the quantile is not a priori fixed. Indeed, the majority of applications...

Quantile regression is in the focus of many estimation techniques and is an important tool in data analysis. When it comes to nonparametric specifications of the conditional quantile (or more generally tail) curve one faces, as in mean regression, a dimensionality problem. We propose a...

It is a challenging task to understand the complex dependency structures in an ultra-high dimensional network, especially when one concentrates on the tail dependency. To tackle this problem, we consider a network quantile autoregression model (NQAR) to characterize the dynamic quantile behavior...