Using the Reinhart-Rogoff dataset, we find a debt threshold not around 90 percent but around 30 percent above which the median real GDP growth falls abruptly. Our work is the first to formally test for threshold effects in the relationship between public debt and median real GDP growth. The null...

There exists a useful framework for jointly implementing Durbin-Wu-Hausman exogeneity and Sargan-Hansen overidenti cation tests, as a single arti cial regression. This note sets out the framework for linear models and discusses its extension to non-linear models. It also provides an empirical...

(Panel) Smooth Transition Regressions substantially gained in popularity due to their flexibility in modeling regression coefficients as homogeneous or heterogeneous functions of transition variables. In the estimation process, however, researchers typically face a trade-off in the sense that a...