Using Gretl, I apply ARMA, Vector ARMA, VAR, state-space model with a Kalman filter, transfer-function and intervention models, unit root tests, cointegration test, volatility models (ARCH, GARCH, ARCH-M, GARCH-M, Taylor-Schwert GARCH, GJR, TARCH, NARCH, APARCH, EGARCH) to analyze quarterly time...

This paper investigates the use of regularization priors in the context of treatment effect estimation using observational data where the number of control variables is large relative to the number of observations. First, the phenomenon of “regularization-induced confounding” is introduced,...

Spatial unit roots can lead to spurious regression results. We present a brief overview of the methods developed in Müller and Watson (2024) to test for and correct for spatial unit roots. We also introduce a suite of Stata commands (-spur-) implementing these techniques. Our commands exactly...

Spatial unit roots can lead to spurious regression results. We present a brief overview of the methods developed in M¨uller and Watson (2024) to test for and correct for spatial unit roots. We also introduce a suite of Stata commands (-spur-) implementing these techniques. Our commands exactly...

Covariates in regressions may be linked to each other on a network. Knowledge of the network structure can be incorporated into regularized regression settings via a network penalty term. However, when it is unknown whether the connection signs in the network are positive (connected covariates...

Log-linear and log-log regressions are one of the most used statistical models. However, handling zeros in the dependent and independent variable has remained obscure despite the prevalence of the situation. In this paper, we discuss how to deal with this issue. We show that using Pseudo-Poisson...

This article introduces lassopack, a suite of programs for regularized regression in Stata. lassopack implements lasso, square-root lasso, elastic net, ridge regression, adaptive lasso and post-estimation OLS. The methods are suitable for the high-dimensional setting where the number of...

Stock economic time series, such as end-of-month inventories, arise as the cumulative sum of monthly inflows and outflows over time, i.e., as accumulations of monthly net flows. In this article, we derive holiday regressors for stock series from cumulative sums of flow-series holiday regressors....

This paper addresses the public and regulatory discussions on whether firms use derivatives to reduce or increase risk. The investigation is carried out to see whether firms hedge or speculate with derivatives by using a regression quantitative analysis of a sample of 433 firm quarters of 31...