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This paper presents the results of a post-sample simulation of a speculative strategy using a portfolio of foreign currency forward contracts.The main new features of the speculative strategy are (a)the use of Kalman filters to update the forecasting equation, (b) the allowance for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788637
This paper presents the results of a post-sample simulation of a speculative strategy using a portfolio of foreign currency forward contracts.The main new features of the speculative strategy are (a)the use of Kalman filters to update the forecasting equation, (b) the allowance for...
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This paper investigates the sources of the profitability of 1024 moving average and momentum models when trading in the … have been profitable over the entire sample period. Second, this profitability is exclusively due to the exploitation of …. Fifth, the profitability of technical trading the German mark (euro)/U. S. dollar exchange rate has been significantly lower …
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is a large burden on profitability. Overall, our evidence suggests that technical analysis could generate excess returns … and that the profitability of technical analysis cannot be explained by market inefficiency. Rather, the evidence is … consistent with that on the link between the efficiency and profitability of technical analysis. …
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