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impact of prior beliefs on the treatment effects. As the salience and the information treatments barely differ, we conclude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440454
beliefs, expecting to become eligible for social security earlier than policy makers intend, but also are highly uncertain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375249
I develop an adaptive learning model to study the welfare effects of Social Security policy uncertainty in an aging economy. Agents combine full knowledge of the political process (which Social Security reforms are possible and when they could occur) with limited knowledge about the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850416
The aim of this paper is to make an assessment of the 2011 reform of the public pension system in Spain using the Swedish pension system as a benchmark, although some reference to the US pension system is also made. The paper focuses on the reform, explaining its aims, breaking down the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014169394
Options for reforming unfunded public pension schemes that are now being discussed all share the feature that the burden induced by demographic change would be shifted towards presently living and away from unborn generations. Existing models of the political economy of pension reform can not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432781
In this paper I use a multi-period OLG model to study how a demographic shock is distributed among different generations. In particular, I investigate whether a funded pension system allows for a smoother adjustment than an unfunded system. The results suggest that the answer to this question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341066
Old-age poverty is to become one of the most pressing issues in the coming decades given the demographic trends forecasted. Particularly in developing countries this could be an obstacle to inclusive and sustainable growth as well as the fight against all forms of poverty (SDG 1), through shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518737
Options for reforming unfunded public pension schemes that are now being discussed all share the feature that the burden induced by demographic change would be shifted towards presently living and away from unborn generations. Existing models of the political economy of pension reform can not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260739
This paper analyses whether the severe demographic change in Germany causes its high current account surpluses. An ageing population both increases the supply and lowers demand of capital in an economy. Due to a longer life span individuals save more. Fewer workers reduce the optimal capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266985
This paper presents long term projections of the German pension system that are based on a general equilibrium model with overlapping generations (OLG). This framework takes into account the two way feedback of both micro and macroeconomic relationships, meaning that households, for example,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197894