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This article tests the efficiency of the hog options market and assesses the impact of the 1996 contract redesign on efficiency. We find that the hog options market is efficient, but some options yielded excess returns during the live hogs period but not during the lean hogs period. Our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443770
The commodity bull cycle of 2006-2008 and subsequent dramatic price decline have been asource of hardship for traditional commodity market participants such as producers andmerchant/shippers. The usefulness of futures markets has been called into question, especiallygiven that some market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446392
Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cashprices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given therecent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassessespast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446394
Includes cover page, journal info, contents page, and editorial information
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Cover page and table of contents for issue 41/2
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Growers in the sugar cane industry have been struggling under financial pressure for several years. Sugar prices have been low while costs of production continue to rise. In addition, adverse weather conditions and pest damage have exacerbated the situation. The future viability of the sugar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010923377
The commodity bull cycle of 2006-2008 and subsequent dramatic price decline have been a source of hardship for traditional commodity market participants such as producers and merchant/shippers. The usefulness of futures markets has been called into question, especially given that some market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368370
Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cash prices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given the recent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassesses past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368378