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Real-time macroeconomic data and uncertainty
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2015 - 2nd updated version
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298898
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Real-time information content of macroeconomic data and uncertainty : an application to the Euro area
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2014
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …, covering the period of January 1991 until March 2014. The information content or informativeness of revision is measured using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425751
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Macro-financial linkages in the high-frequency domain : the effects of uncertainty on realized volatility
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Karanasos, Menelaos; Yfanti, … - 2019
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to financial stability. In particular, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
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Riskiness, risk aversion, and risk sharing: cooperation in a dynamic insurance game
Laczó, Sarolta (contributor) - 2008
This paper examines how cooperation in an insurance game depends on risk preferences and the riskiness of income. It considers a dynamic game where commitment is limited, and characterizes the level of cooperation as measured by the reciprocal of the discount factor above which perfect risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770693
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A theory of continuous uncertainty types
Czerny, Achim Ingo; Verhoef, Erik T.; Zhang, Anming - 2015
This paper distinguishes uncertainty types that differ continuously with respect to the degree to which uncertainty affects the optimal price/price markup or optimal quantity. A monopoly example is used to show that seemingly strong assumptions on functional forms can represent a wide variety of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532588
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The impact of uncertainty on investment : a meta-analysis
Koetse, Mark J.; Groot, Henri L. F. de; Florax, Raymond … - 2006
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since the outcomes of primary studies are largely incomparable with respect to the magnitude of the effect, our analysis focuses on the direction and statistical significance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349194
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The order of knowledge and robust action : how to deal with economic uncertainty?
Falkinger, Josef - 2015
Economic uncertainty has to do with the consequences of actions under different circumstances. This raises two questions: First, how sensitive are the outcomes of actions to variations in the environment? Second, how clearly can we distinguish between environments? Robustness comes at the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326624
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Performance pay and risk aversion
Grund, Christian; Sliwka, Dirk - 2006
A main prediction of agency theory is the well known risk-incentive trade-off. Incentive contracts should be found in environments with little uncertainty and for agents with low degrees of risk aversion. There is an ongoing debate in the literature about the first trade-off. Due to lack of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010365868
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The effect of better information on income inequality
Eckwert, Bernhard; Zilcha, Itzhak - 2003
which is used for updating beliefs. Thus, a better information system affects the distribution of human capital in each …) If the relative measure of risk aversion is less (more) than 1 then more information raises (reduces) income inequality …. (b) When a risk sharing market is available better information results in higher inequality regardsless of the measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507996
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Legal uncertainty as a welfare enhancing screen
Lang, Matthias - 2016
Consider legal uncertainty as uncertainty about the legality of a specific action. In particular, suppose that the threshold of legality is uncertain. I show that this legal uncertainty raises welfare. Legal uncertainty changes deterrence in opposite directions. The probability of conviction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557794