A global planning problem is analyzed for extracting an exhaustible resource like oil when resource extraction - the only source for current consumption - also generates additions to the stock of GHGs that influence the likelihood of hitting a threshold representing climate change. We derive...

"The government contracts with a foreign firm to extract a natural resource that requires an upfront investment and which faces price uncertainty. In states where profits are high, there is a likelihood of expropriation, which generates a social cost that increases with the expropriated value....