This paper develops an equilibrium model to investigate the relationships between transaction uncertainties, risk aversion, insurance, specialization, per capita real income, and productivity progress. It is shown that transaction uncertainties can restrict the division of labor; the level of...

Smith, Keynes, and Knight, in that order, made seminal contributions to decision making which emphasized uncertainty and indeterminate probabilities, as opposed to mere imprecision. De Finetti’s views on uncertainty are diametrically opposed to those of Smith, Keynes, and Knight once the clear...

Part I: Advanced Tutorials -- Supporting Time-Critical Decision Making with Real Time Simulations -- Metamodel-based Robust Simulation-Optimization: An Overview -- Simulation-Based Modelling of a Stochastic Equilibrium -- Part II: Uncertainty Management Using Sequential Parameter Optimization --...

For many years, the ideas of Knight and Keynes have been widely understood to overlap greatly and they are presumed to have developed notions of uncertainty that deeply intersect, both describing a state where outcomes have non-probabilistic likelihoods. Further, even their political...