Initiating a conflict is an investment in social, political or economic change. The decision to attack is sequential in time, irreversible and, more important, includes highly uncertain and erratic threats and opportunities yet completely disregarded in conflict theory. In this dynamic model of...

Using high-resolution data from Africa over the period 1998-2012, this paper investigates the hypothesis that a higher exposure to malaria increases the incidence of civil violence. The analysis uses panel data at the 1o grid cell level at monthly frequency. The econometric identification...

Using high-resolution data from Africa over the period 1998-2012, this paper investigates the hypothesis that a higher exposure to malaria increases the incidence of civil violence. The analysis uses panel data at the 1° grid cell level at monthly frequency. The econometric identification...

Die Möglichkeit des sozialen Aufstiegs war eines der zentralen Versprechen der "alten" BRD - und tatsächlich wurde es meistens eingelöst: Aus dem Käfer wurde ein Audi, aus Facharbeiterkindern Akademiker. Mittlerweile ist der gesellschaftliche Fahrstuhl stecken geblieben: Uniabschlüsse...

Using high-resolution data from Africa over the period 1998-2012, this paper investigates the hypothesis that a higher exposure to malaria increases the incidence of civil violence. The analysis uses panel data at the 1o grid cell level at monthly frequency. The econometric identification...

After the crisis of 2001, Argentina has shown a positive economic development. Between 2003 and 2011, Argentina had a growth rate between 6% and 9%, with exception of 2009. These economic results reflected in an improvement of the social indicators. Poverty decreased to 13.9% in 2013 and...