What is risk? -- Why do we care about risk? -- What do we think about risk? -- How do we measure risk? -- Risk adjusted value -- Probabilistic approaches: Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulations -- Value at risk (VAR) -- Real options -- Risk management: the big picture -- Risk...

"Quantitative risk assessments cannot eliminate risk, nor can they resolve trade-offs. They can, however, guide principled risk management and reduction - if the quality of assessment is high and decision makers understand how to use it. This book builds a unifying scientific framework for...