We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...

In this study we propose an axiomatic theory of decision-making under risk that is based on a new approach to the modeling of framing that focuses on the subjective statistical dependence between prizes of compared lotteries. Unlike existing models that allow objective statistical dependence, as...

The present study reviews the literature about dynamic decision-making and judgment of low-probability, high-consequence events. The specific features of this situation under risk and uncertainty imply an anomaly: while the single probability of an event with high negative consequences may be...