This paper deals with estimating small tail probabilities of thesteady-state waiting time in a GI/GI/1 queue withheavy-tailed (subexponential) service times. The problem ofestimating infinite horizon ruin probabilities in insurancerisk processes with heavy-tailed claims can be transformed into...

The stationary distribution of a GARCH(1,1) process has a power law decay, under broadly applicable conditions. We study the change in the exponent of the tail decay under temporal aggregation of parameters, with the distribution of innovations held fixed. The parameter transformation we study...

We develop a framework to quantify the vulnerability of mutual funds to fire-sale spillover losses. We account for the first-mover incentive that results from the mismatch between the liquidity offered to redeeming investors and the liquidity of assets held by the funds. In our framework, the...

A credit valuation adjustment (CVA) is an adjustment applied to the value of a derivative contract or a portfolio of derivatives to account for counterparty credit risk. Measuring CVA requires combining models of market and credit risk to estimate a counterparty's risk of default together with...

We analyze the optimal allocation of trades to portfolios when the cost associated with an allocation is proportional to each portfolio's risk. Our investigation is motivated by changes in the over-the-counter derivatives markets, under which some contracts may be traded bilaterally or through...

Contingent capital in the form of debt that converts to equity as a bank approaches financial distress offers a potential solution to the problem of banks that are too big to fail. This paper studies the design of contingent convertible bonds and their incentive effects in a structural model...

Banking regulations set minimum levels of capital for banks. These requirements are generally formulated through a ratio of capital to risk-weighted assets. A risk-weighting scheme assigns a weight to each asset or category of assets and effectively functions as a linear constraint on a bank's...