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inflation. During crises periods, the strength of the transmission of inflation uncertainty shocks from one country to another … tends to intensify. This paper examines empirical methodologies to measure the strength of the interdependence of inflation … uncertainty between the UK and the euro area. We first estimate inflation uncertainty by ex post forecast errors from a bivariate …
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Uncertainty shapes the trajectory of business cycles and remains a central research topic in Macroeconomics. When studying the impact of uncertainty on the economy, economists use different uncertainty measures. While all indicators approximate uncertainty along some certain dimension, none of...
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evaluation of the methodological and empirical advances in the measurement of the extreme market risk. This paper argues that a … value theory (EVT) followed closely by the filtered historical simulation (FHS) are highly accurate methodologies. In …
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