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The recent literature provides conflicting empirical evidence on the pricing of idiosyncratic risk. This paper sheds new light on the matter by exploiting the richness of option data. First, we find that idiosyncratic risk explains 28% of the variation in the risk premium on a stock. Second, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936071
and volatility risk in the dynamics of asset value in debt rollover models. Using an innovative theoretical approach we … values from empirical studies that volatility risk, together with deteriorating bond market liquidity, decrease both debt and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973387
volatility and exhibit a pattern known as the volatility skew. We explain both facts using a model that can also account for the … mean and volatility of equity returns. Our model assumes a small risk of economic disaster that is calibrated based on … to the model's ability both to match equity volatility and to reconcile option prices with macroeconomic data on disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856361
uncertainty of the underlying. Transferring this intuition to volatility jumps requires that in affine models the variance jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957054
We develop a conditional capital asset pricing model in continuous-time that allows for stochastic beta exposure. When beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return on a stock deviates from the security market line. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646407
We study the term structure of variance (total risk), systematic and idiosyncratic risk. Consistent with the expectations hypothesis, we find that, for the entire market, the slope of the term structure of variance is mainly informative about the path of future variance. Thus, there is little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751173
the variance of idiosyncratic returns. The estimation is performed on a time series of returns and option prices from 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410917
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708
Risk premia are related to price probability ratios or for continuous time pure jump processes the ratios of jump arrival rates under the pricing and physical measures. The variance gamma model is employed to synthesize densities with risk premia seen as the ratio of the three parameters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018782
We examine the pricing of volatility risk in the cross-section of equity Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) stock … returns over the 1996 – 2010 period. We consider both aggregate (systematic) volatility and firm-specific (idiosyncratic …) volatility. In contrast to the negative and significant price of systematic volatility risk for Non-REIT equities, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092294