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precautionary saving is strong enough, a rise in uncertainty leads to i) a drop in inflation; ii) amplified negative responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
We build a New Keynesian business-cycle model with rich household heterogeneity. A central feature is that matching frictions render labor-market risk countercyclical and endogenous to monetary policy. Our main result is that a majority of households prefer substantial stabilization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563007
Should monetary policy be more aggressive or more cautious when facing uncertainty on the relationship between macroeconomic variables? This paper's answer is: “it depends” on the degree of persistence of the shocks that hit the economy. The paper studies optimal monetary policy in a basic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865374
of the responsiveness of price inflation to that slack. Using stochastic simulations of a small-scale version of the … setting the policy rate, and substitute toward a more forceful response to inflation, is overstated. We find that a notable … response to the unemployment gap is typically beneficial, even if that gap is mismeasured. Even when the dynamics of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016122
We build a New Keynesian business-cycle model with rich household heterogeneity. A central feature is that matching frictions render labor-market risk countercyclical and endogenous to monetary policy. Our main result is that a majority of households prefer substantial stabilization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210409
indicate that supplementing the inflation target with a tolerance interval may be useful to enhance central bank credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198219
This paper examines the impact of unemployment insurance on the propagation of monetary disturbances in a staggered price model of the business cycle. To motivate a role for risk sharing behavior, I construct a quantitative equilibrium model that gives prominence to an efficiency-wage theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961766
and leads to higher economic activity and inflation. Our results suggest that forward guidance about future monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950996
This paper studies optimal discretionary policy with parameter uncertainty about inflation inertia. Optimal policy … in the presence of uncertainty about inflation inertia, depending on the form of the central bank’s objective function …. Moreover, in the cases where optimal policy is not certainty equivalent, we find that inflation returns slightly more gradually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604586
It is well known that a tightening or easing of the United States' monetary policy affects financial markets in emerging economies. This paper argues that uncertainty about future monetary policy is a separate transmission channel. We focus on the taper tantrum episode in 2013, a period with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546623