All too often, the concept of risk-neutral probabilities in mathematical finance is poorly explained, and misleading statements are made. The aim of this paper is to provide an intuitive understanding of risk-neutral probabilities, and to explain in an easily accessible manner how they can be...

The complexity of the global financial crisis beginning 2007 has challenged professionals. For students, the crisis's interconnected elements, covered in multiple courses and the concepts of derivatives central to it, are overwhelming. Providing short answers to their questions often creates...

In this paper we present an application where advanced undergraduate students can solve the expected utility portfolio model with a risk-free and a risky asset with both up and down returns in the Stock Market. With real Stock Market data, we use Excel Solver to find the portfolio decision and...

Under the CAPM assumptions, the market capitalization weighted portfolio is mean-variance efficient. In real world applications it has been shown by various authors that low risk portfolios outperform the market capitalization weighted portfolio. We revisit this anomaly using high-frequency data...

This paper offers several contributions to actual research and discussion on monetary policy. It clarifies the relationship between uncertainty of inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy and discusses the consequences of the recent Blanchard proposal to implement a higher inflation...

Die Abhandlung zeigt für wiederholbare Prozesse eine universell anwendbare Ableitung eines Rechenalgorhithmus auf, mit dem unter Annahme einer Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilung mögliche Plan-Istabweichungen und Aufallkosten zu einem Gleichgewicht und damit zu einem Ergebnisoptimunm führen....

In this paper the climate change effect is an unforeseen earth temperature level above which a negative externality on technology and hence on society's welfare is exerted. We use a dynamic overlapping generations model to develop a positive analysis of the growth path of an economy with the...

This paper shows that the value function describing efficient risk sharing with limited commitment is not necessarily differentiable everywhere. We link differentiability of the value function to history dependence of efficient allocations and provide sufficient conditions for both properties.

The real options tradition originally predicted a decreasing relationship between uncertainty and investment, through the positive effect of higher uncertainty on the trigger level for revenue relative to costs. An opposing effect on the probability of reaching the level has been identified,...