This paper examines the value of direct communication to households about inflation and the uncertainty around … inflation statistics. All types of information about inflation are effective at immediately managing inflation expectations …, with information about outlooks being more effective and more relevant than that about recent inflation and Bank targets …

policy rate will become constrained in the future lowers today's inflation by creating tail risk in future inflation and thus … reducing expected inflation. In an empirically rich model calibrated to match key features of the U.S. economy, we find that … the tail risk induced by the ELB causes inflation to undershoot the target rate of 2 percent by as much as 50 basis points …

In New Keynesian models favourable cost-push shocks lower inflation and increase output. Yet, when the central bank …'s inflation target is not perfectly observed these shocks turn contractionary as agents erroneously perceive a temporary reduction …

This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and … whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the … survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more on past national inflation rates than on the ECB's anchor for price …

This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and … whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the … survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more on past national inflation rates than on the ECB's anchor for price …