This paper analyses the direct and indirect trade volume and trade cost effects of uncertainty on international trade and economic welfare using a structural gravity framework for a panel of 97 developed and developing countries from 2000 to 2018. Our results suggest that an increase in...

This paper analyses the direct and indirect trade volume and trade cost effects of uncertainty on international trade and economic welfare using a structural gravity framework for a panel of 97 developed and developing countries from 2000 to 2018. Our results suggest that an increase in...

This paper studies the role of financial frictions in explaining the heterogeneous effect of exchange rate uncertainty on international trade. Empirically, exports in industries in which firms have less tangible capital or rely more heavily on external finance decrease more in times of high...