Showing 1 - 10 of 20,842
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014466112
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
The stationary distribution of a GARCH(1,1) process has a power law decay, under broadly applicable conditions. We study the change in the exponent of the tail decay under temporal aggregation of parameters, with the distribution of innovations held fixed. The parameter transformation we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846179
Standard realized volatility (RV) measures estimate the latent volatility of an asset price using high frequency data … estimate of volatility to the application in which it will be used. For example, if the volatility measure will be used in a … volatility. We use methods from machine learning to estimate optimal “bespoke” RVs for heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255167
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316029
Linear GARCH(1,1) and GJR GARCH(1,1) processes are established as regularly varying, meaning their heavy tails follow a Power Law, under conditions that allow the innovations from the, respective, processes to be either symmetrically distributed or skewed. Skewness is considered a stylized fact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933309
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844423
volatility models results in superior out-of-sample risk forecasts, compared to forecasts from existing models and more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970195
volatility models, namely GARCH(1,1), GJR(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1), are used to measure the short-run and long-run persistence of … tourists. The empirical results show asymmetric impacts of positive and negative shocks on the volatility of the change in the … number of Group-type and Medical-type tourists, while Individual-type tourists display a symmetric volatility pattern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848107
world and other sectors, depending on market states. On the other hand, oil market volatility (OVX) adversely affects all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236216