of futures in the foresight approach?" This study uses the results of the analysis and criticism of the literature as the … methodological fields: uncertainty, foresight, and knowledge. The author analyzed complex relations among the above areas on the … of of futures management. In the management of complex systems (such as Industry 4.0), from the foresight methodological …

Generating Cyber Intelligence (CYBINT) scenarios & solutions to address uncertainty for decision-advantage: Using …/Probabilistic Language - Part II: Expanding the Range of Scenario Options -- Scoping ‘Digital Twins’ in intelligence & strategic foresight … Generative-AI efficacy to support decision-making -- Can Generative-AI (ChatGPT and Bard) Be Used as Red Team Avatars in …

risk of extreme climate conditions. However, being confronted with inaccurate forecast systems may undermine individuals …' responsiveness in the long run. Using an online experiment, we assess how false alarm and missed alarm-prone forecast systems …

This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … four major currencies based on survey data provided by FX4casts. We consider economic policy, macroeconomic, and financial … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …