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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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. Bitcoin contributes only 2.55% to the connectedness, while the wheat volatility index accounts for 12.51% of the total … transmitter to the wheat volatility, while being the spillover receiver from the oil and corn volatilities. The findings suggest …
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structure model of commodity futures. Our theory-based CDP, capturing forward-looking information in the futures markets … it, implying it has substantial new information. Moreover, various aggregations of individual commodity CDP predict …
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