overconfidence. Cognitive uncertainty represents a decision maker's uncertainty about her action optimality. We present a simple …

. The evidence supports the predictions of our model, most notably that investor learning about manager ability weakens when … to the resultant sluggish learning process …

behavioural models suggested by psychology (i.e., weighted probabilities applied to regret and rejoice theory), and by updating … probability estimations and outcome preferences according to the learning models suggested by neuroscience (i.e., adaptive … learning aimed at reducing surprises), and analogous to Bayesian updating. The search context is derived from experimental …

demand. The former learning effect, combined with the latter real-options effect, adversely affect firms' entry decisions and …

conducting a set of experiments in simple 2 x 2 dominance solvable coordination games. Our experiments involve two main …

dramatic consequences. To test whether the overconfidence bias affects the decision of backcountry skiers to go on a ski trip …