Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled … measurement error, we propose using common information contained in different measures derived from survey data, a variety of … indicator for inflation uncertainty. Moreover, the idiosyncratic component of survey disagreement contains systematic …

This paper studies uncertainty using the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' data. We consider both inflation and … are based on subjective probability distributions of survey respondents. Our analysis indicates that individual inflation … inflation uncertainty has a negative impact on economic activity by decreasing output growth and increasing inflation and …

implementation of Muth’s hypothesis to represent market participants’ inflation expectations under Knightian uncertainty arising from … that processes driving inflation time-series and inflation forecasts undergo nonrecurring structural shifts. In contrast to …

inflation. During crises periods, the strength of the transmission of inflation uncertainty shocks from one country to another … tends to intensify. This paper examines empirical methodologies to measure the strength of the interdependence of inflation … uncertainty between the UK and the euro area. We first estimate inflation uncertainty by expost forecast errors from a bivariate …

We rely on the Atlanta Fed's Business Inflation Expectations survey to draw inference about firms' inflation … literature, we find evidence that the concept of "aggregate inflation" as measured through price statistics like the consumer … experiments (including randomized controlled trials) that show how researchers word questions to elicit inflation expectations and …

We rely on the Atlanta Fed's Business Inflation Expectations survey to draw inference about firms' inflation … literature, we find evidence that the concept of "aggregate inflation" as measured through price statistics like the consumer … experiments (including randomized controlled trials) that show how researchers word questions to elicit inflation expectations and …

In this study, we examine the connectedness of exchange rate uncertainty and inflation. In an economy with a flexible … price level. We empirically analyze the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on inflation by using panel data from 149 … and positive effect on inflation. We also show that effect of exchange rate uncertainty on inflation is nonlinear. As the …

This paper is first attempt to measure and analyze inflation uncertainty in Pakistan and it provides several … contributions. Using quarterly data from 1976:01 to 2008:02, at first stage we model inflation uncertainty as time varying process … through GARCH framework. At second stage asymmetric behavior of inflation uncertainty is analyzed by using GJR-GARCH and …