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Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with ex-post heterogeneity due to idiosyncratic risk have to be solved numerically. This is a nontrivial task as the cross-sectional distribution of endogenous variables becomes an element of the state space due to aggregate risk. Existing global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875645
We investigate whether US households possess advance information about their future income and what this means for consumption insurance. Based on insights from a theoretical model, we propose a new test to detect advance information, which requires only panel data on consumption and income....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186823
We explore the long-run relationship between income risk, inequality, and the macroeconomy in an overlapping … they require for bearing risk, leading to higher measured income and wealth inequality, a lower risk-free real interest … rate, and higher risk premiums. These findings suggest that the factors behind the observed rise in inequality over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313121
The cross-sectional distribution of consumption is commonly approximated by the lognormal distribution. This note shows that consumption is better described by the double Pareto-lognormal distribution (dPlN), which has a lognormal body with two Pareto tails and arises as the stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011798322
This paper examines the effects of changes in uncertainty of household income on the macroeconomy. Households face substantial idiosyncratic income risk that is up to two orders of magnitude larger than total factor productivity uncertainty, very persistent and varies substantially over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340551
I examine if the positive correlation between wealth and survivorship has any implications for the progressivity of Social Security's current benefit-earnings rule. Using a general-equilibrium macroeconomic model calibrated to the U.S. economy, I show that the optimal benefit-earnings link for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554131
heterogeneity to quantify their effects on wealth inequality. The results show that with the available estimates of the risk … aversion distribution from PSID data the model can match the observed degree of wealth inequality in the U.S., accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009683671
This paper uses a heterogeneous-agent overlapping-generations model to examine the fiscal and distributional consequences of introducing a means test in US Social Security. I find that a means test, that is, conditioning benefit payments on a household's earnings or assets, leads to a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014513264
We explore how members of a collective pension scheme can share inflation risks in the absence of suitable financial market instruments. Using intergenerational risk sharing arrangements, risks can be allocated better across the various participants of a collective pension scheme than would be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460026
Recessions and expansions are often caused or reinforced by developments in private consumption - the largest component of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the business cycle. As such, an accurate measurement of the cyclical component of consumption and an understanding of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380708