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We introduce a novel method for measuring economic uncertainty at the firm, sector, and aggregate levels using sales volatility and validate it by comparison with existing macroeconomic uncertainty measures. We use Compustat firms data in the period 2000-2022 to construct our uncertainty...
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markups increase and output falls after uncertainty shocks. The model is also used as a business cycle accounting device to … construct aggregate markups from the data. Time-series techniques are employed to study the conditional comovement between … markups and output in the data. Consistent with the model’s precautionary wage setting, we find that wage markups increase …
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Precautionary pricing and increasing markups in representative-agent DSGE models with nominal rigidities are commonly … consistent with the data. Three things stand out. First, consistent with precautionary wage setting, we find that wage markups … increase after uncertainty shocks. Second, the impulse responses of price markups are largely inconsistent with the standard …
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We investigate the impact of product market competition on firms' systematic risk. Using a measure of total product market similarity, we document a strong negative link between market power and market betas. There is a more than threefold increase in the effect during the most recent...
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Recent academic research documents a sharp increase in global market power. Using newly created and more precise data on aggregate market power (see De Loecker and Eeckhout, 2021), we add to the literature on the determinants of market power by investigating whether and how uncertainty may have...
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