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Time horizon dimensions are added to asset pricing theory. Single period, static, arbitrage pricing theory (APT) describes single period risk with long horizon contributions in the frequency domain. Mean-reversion risks correspond to horizon variances. Mean-reversion risk is measured using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351311
We investigate the impact of the uncertainty surrounding the United Kingdom’s proposed departure from the European Community (“Brexit”) on financial assets. We conduct an event study around the November 14th 2018 draft withdrawal agreement. Our motivation was that the economic impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352198
Stock markets have seen severe price drops over the last 20 years such as the burst of the technology bubble. The mainstream view is that exuberance inflated prices before the burst. This study applies the Schwartz-Moon fundamental valuation model to find no conclusive evidence for overvaluation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838953
Climate change becomes a common threat to the world and has been studied by scholars in various fields. In the field of finance, many papers discuss the financial market efficiency toward climate change in order to better manage related risk. Our work focuses on the topic of climate change risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845783
Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) relates to ambiguity surrounding possible changes in government policy and their associate impact on firm performance. This uncertainty places additional stress on economic agents and has implications for the global economy via delays in firm investment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848439
There is a growing empirical literature on gold's safe haven status with respect to financial risks but no study with respect to global geopolitical risks. This paper extends the common focus on extreme stock market movements and financial turmoil with an analysis of geopolitical risk. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929288
This study employs boot strapping methods to estimate the distributions of individual security alphas generated from multi-factor models and compares them to empirical observations. I find that a small but sufficient number of positive and statistically significant alphas occurring above the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932020
We forecast monthly Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) using option market data and four different econometric techniques. Independently from the econometric approach used, all models produce quick to estimate forward-looking risk measures that do not depend from the amount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823461
Investor attention is central to explaining the mean-variance puzzle. Using Google Search Volumes as a proxy to attention, I document a positive trade-off during low attention periods that is significantly undermined when attention is high. The negative association between on-line searches and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829514
This paper investigates the impact of Brexit events on the behaviour of 34 financial indices from 1st January 2012 to 26th April 2017. Our focus is to evaluate whether the impact of Brexit on financial markets is consistent with rational asset pricing models. The empirical research uses a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829650