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We find strong empirical support for the risk-shifting mechanism to account for the puzzling negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility and future stock returns. First, equity holders take on investments with high idiosyncratic risk when their firms are in distress and receive less...
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Straddles on individual stocks generally earn significantly negative returns. However, average at the money straddles from three days before an earnings announcement to the announcement date yield a highly significant 3.34% return. The positive returns on straddles indicate that investors...
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Economists have long recognized that investors care differently about downside losses versus upside gains. Agents who place greater weight on downside risk demand additional compensation for holding stocks with high sensitivities to downside market movements. We show that the cross-section of...
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Stocks with greater downside risk, which is measured by higher correlations conditional on downside moves of the market, have higher returns. After controlling for the market beta, the size effect and the book-to-market effect, the average rate of return on stocks with the greatest downside risk...
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Bankruptcy and delisting due to other failures are two closely related yet sharply different distress events. Using a state-of-the-art adaptive Lasso variable selection method, we identify two different models for bankruptcy risk and other-failure risk. Both selected models gain better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406434
This paper constructs a novel measure of climate risk at the firm level by adopting a textual analysis method. The measure captures the share of conversations on earnings conference calls that center on climate- and weather-related keywords, allowing us not only to construct a total climate risk...
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