We discuss the finding that cross-sectional characteristic based models have yielded portfolios with higher excess monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks listed on the JSE. Under the assumption of general...

This study evaluates the sensitivity and robustness of the systemic risk measure, Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR), estimated using the vine copula and APARCH-DCC models. We compute the CoVaR for the two portfolios across fve allocation strategies. The novel vine copula captures the complex...

This paper presents a model of vehicle choice and empirically examines the risk posed by light trucks (sport-utility vehicles, vans, and pickups) to those that drive them and to other drivers, relative to the risk posed by cars. It compares the relative risk of dying and the relative crash...

This paper employs the ZCAPM asset pricing model of Liu, Kolari, and Huang (2018) to show that momentum returns are highly related to market risk arising from return dispersion (RD). Cross-sectional tests show that momentum risk loadings and RD risk loadings are similarly priced in momentum...

Fundaments of classification lie on the interdependences between the features and the labels to classify. For social parameters, this relationships are difficult to model and measure. In this paper, a way of obtaining a social indicator using sentiment analysis in Twitter is explained. With the...

Linear GARCH(1,1) and GJR GARCH(1,1) processes are established as regularly varying, meaning their heavy tails follow a Power Law, under conditions that allow the innovations from the, respective, processes to be either symmetrically distributed or skewed. Skewness is considered a stylized fact...

We investigate the joint ability of fundamental-based and market-based news to explain the anomalous underperformance of the stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility (high IVOL). An out-of-sample prediction of future profitability is adopted as a proxy for the fundamental–based news while...

This paper examines point and density forecasts from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters. We derive individual uncertainty measures along with individual point- and density-based measures of disagreement. We also explore the relationship between uncertainty and...

We employ real-time data available to the US monetary policy makers to estimate a Taylor rule augmented with a measure of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output...

In this paper, we identify and document the empirical characteristics of the key drivers of convertible arbitrage as a strategy and how they impact the performance of convertible arbitrage hedge funds. We show that the returns of a buy-and-hedge strategy involving taking a long position in...