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Expected Equity Returns Should Correlate with Idiosyncratic Risk
Bruno, Giovanni - 2018
law of one price, and is present in all but risk-neutral economies. We test the cross-sectional predictions of our theory … equity than for assets, and stronger for more levered firms — consistent with the theory. We test also the timeseries … implications of the theory. Time variation in asset ivol causes time variation in the option value of equity that translates into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
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Asset pricing and consumption-portfolio choice with recursive utility and unspanned risk
Kraft, Holger; Seiferling, Thomas; Seifried, Frank Thomas - 2014 - First version: March 6, 2014; this version: June 1, 2014
We study consumption-portfolio and asset pricing frameworks with recursive preferences and unspanned risk. We show that in both cases, portfolio choice and asset pricing, the value function of the investor/representative agent can be characterized by a specific semilinear partial differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359861
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All Risks Matter
Li, Weiping - 2012
We derive the total variance risk premium for an index in the stochastic environment of Driessen, Maenhout and Vilkov (2009) and correct the previous authors omission of certain components which contribute significantly to index option expected returns. This study provides a mathematically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103853
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Expectations and aggregate risk
Bretscher, Lorenzo; Malkhozov, Aytek; Tamoni, Andrea - 2021
We estimate agents' expectations about future fundamentals using a dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model augmented with anticipated shocks. Accounting for agents' expectations atthe business cycle horizon results in aggregate risk factor innovations that have significant explanatory power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643121
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Fragile beliefs and the price of uncertainty
Hansen, Lars Peter; Sargent, Thomas J. - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 1 (2010) 1, pp. 129-162
A representative consumer uses Bayes' law to learn about parameters of several models and to construct probabilities with which to perform ongoing model averaging. The arrival of signals induces the consumer to alter his posterior distribution over models and parameters. The consumer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719071
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Volatility Uncertainty, Time Decay, and Option Bid-Ask Spreads in an Incomplete Market
Hsieh, PeiLin Billy - 2017
This paper documents the fact that in options markets, the (percentage) implied volatility bid-ask spread increases at an increasing rate as the option's maturity date approaches. To explain this stylized fact, this paper provides a market microstructure model for the bid-ask spread in options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974407
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Risk Sharing in International Economies and Market Incompleteness
Bakshi, Gurdip - 2018
We develop an incomplete markets framework to synthesize domestic and foreign stochastic discount factors (SDFs) that are consistent with limited international risk sharing. The fundamental departure in our paper is that exchange rate growth need not equal the ratio of SDFs, and we develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937833
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Term structure of interest rates with short-run and long-run risks
Grishchenko, Olesya V.; Song, Zhaogang; Zhou, Hao - In: The Journal of finance and data science : JFDS 8 (2022), pp. 255-295
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708
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Construction, Systematic Risk, and Stock-Level Investment Anomalies
Aretz, Kevin; Kagkadis, Anastasios - 2021
shocks, we demonstrate that our evidence is consistent with neoclassical finance theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239312
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Cross-section without factors : correlation risk, strings and asset prices
Distaso, Walter; Mele, Antonio; Vilkov, Grigory - 2021 - This version: January 13, 2021
Many asset pricing theories treat the cross-section of returns volatility and correlations as two intimately related quantities driven by common factors, which hinders achieving a neat definition of a correlation premium. We formulate a model without factors, but with a continuum of securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289