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present a model in which forecast accuracy and timing are affected by information uncertainty stemming from (i) the presence … of forecast bias and (ii) investors' limited capability to adjust to this bias. We assume that the presence of a bias is … affects the trade-off between timeliness and forecast quality. We find that the optimal forecasting time varies non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928822
that analysts’ forecast errors increase with EPU, as does the degree of forecast dispersion. Increased error and dispersion … heterogeneity in forecast quality across both analyst and firm characteristics establishes that forecast error and dispersion … sensitive versus policy neutral provide consistent evidence that analyst forecast errors and dispersion increase with EPU, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239675
Risk forecasting is crucial for informed investment decision-making. Moreover, the salience of investment risk increases during economically uncertain times. In this paper, we study how sell-side analysts form expectations of firm risk, under different macroeconomic conditions (low versus high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829616
This study examines the relationship between components of OCI and analysts' forecasting behaviour, being forecast … negatively associated with forecast accuracy and herding. We also find that available for sale (AFS) amounts are positively … associated with forecast accuracy, herding and analyst following. Together with prior evidence, our findings provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872055
with both higher individual analysts' forecast errors and forecast dispersion. This suggests that the increasing complexity … surrounding the capitalization of development costs negatively impacts forecast accuracy. However, for firms with high underlying … environmental uncertainty, forecast errors are negatively associated with capitalized development expenditures. This indicates that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043413
uncertainty, as reflected by greater timeliness with no loss in forecast accuracy. In contrast, analysts have greater difficulty … dealing with heightened market uncertainty, as both timeliness and forecast accuracy decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250690
Two ex-ante variables are introduced to characterize the analysts' biased behavior, namely the analysts' disagreement and self-selection in analysts' earnings forecasts. The study investigates the impact of the analysts' disagreement and self-selection on the stock returns. A theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330637
positively associated with forecast distributions that are more dispersed and exhibit stronger bimodal patterns, consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403974
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010196963
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438041