We determine the optimal timing for replacement of an emerging technology facing uncertainty in both the output price and the arrival of new versions. Via a sequential investment framework, we determine the value of the investment opportunity, the value of the project, and the optimal investment...

Profit-maximizing firms hedge risk from uncertainty by deciding on capacity investment and production. Typically, risk-averse firms monotonically forgo expected profit in exchange for an improved risk measure, e.g., conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). However, the stochastic-equilibrium literature...