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Polls and elections: strategic respondents and turnout implications
Luxen, Christina - 2020
This paper studies the effect of pre-election polls on the participation decision of citizens in a large, two …-candidate election, and the resulting incentives for the poll participants. Citizens have private values and voting is costly and … candidate wins the election almost surely, regardless of voters' posterior beliefs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270501
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Aggregate Uncertainty in Runoff Elections
Solow, Benjamin - 2018
election, and a Condorcet losing candidate wins with positive probability. Finally, some candidates who reach the second round …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921841
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Psychologically-Based Voting with Uncertainty
Degan, Arianna; Li, Ming - 2021
We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout in an election with common value and uncertainty. Our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315570
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Policy inertia, election uncertainty, and incumbency disadvantage of political parties
Chatterjee, Satyajit; Eyigungor, Burcu - In: The review of economic studies : RES 87 (2020) 6, pp. 2600-2638
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387346
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Political uncertainty and the choice of debt sources
Ben-Nasr, Hamdi; Bouslimi, Lobna; Ebrahim, Muhammed Shahid - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 64 (2020), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495664
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Uncertainty, electoral incentives and political myopia
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Gancia, Gino Alessandro - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720560
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Uncertainty, electoral incentives and political myopia
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Gancia, Gino Alessandro - In: The economic journal : the journal of the Royal … 123 (2013) 568, pp. 373-400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754524
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Uncertainty, electoral incentives and political myopia
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Gancia, Gino Alessandro - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375570
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Local Evidence and Diversity in Minipublics
Bardhi, Arjada; Bobkova, Nina - 2021
A policymaker selects a group of citizens—a minipublic—to advise her on the desirability of a policy. Each citizen can discover local evidence about the policy but might prefer not to due to political uncertainty in the policymaker’s adoption threshold. Such uncertainty is detrimental to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244821
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Policy Uncertainty and Manufacturing Investment : Evidence from U.S. State Elections
Shelton, Cameron A. - 2016
year of a gubernatorial election, the elasticity of investment to the eventual margin of victory is 0.027. Both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993110