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Polls and elections: strategic respondents and turnout implications
Luxen, Christina - 2020
This paper studies the effect of pre-election polls on the participation decision of citizens in a large, two …-candidate election, and the resulting incentives for the poll participants. Citizens have private values and voting is costly and … candidate wins the election almost surely, regardless of voters' posterior beliefs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270501
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Aggregate Uncertainty in Runoff Elections
Solow, Benjamin - 2018
election, and a Condorcet losing candidate wins with positive probability. Finally, some candidates who reach the second round …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921841
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Psychologically-Based Voting with Uncertainty
Degan, Arianna; Li, Ming - 2021
We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout in an election with common value and uncertainty. Our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315570
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Uncertainty, electoral incentives and political myopia
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Gancia, Gino Alessandro - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720560
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Uncertainty, electoral incentives and political myopia
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Gancia, Gino Alessandro - In: The economic journal : the journal of the Royal … 123 (2013) 568, pp. 373-400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754524
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Uncertainty, electoral incentives and political myopia
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Gancia, Gino Alessandro - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375570
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Policy inertia, election uncertainty, and incumbency disadvantage of political parties
Chatterjee, Satyajit; Eyigungor, Burcu - In: The review of economic studies : RES 87 (2020) 6, pp. 2600-2638
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387346
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Political uncertainty and the choice of debt sources
Ben-Nasr, Hamdi; Bouslimi, Lobna; Ebrahim, Muhammed Shahid - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 64 (2020), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495664
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Local Evidence and Diversity in Minipublics
Bardhi, Arjada; Bobkova, Nina - 2021
A policymaker selects a group of citizens—a minipublic—to advise her on the desirability of a policy. Each citizen can discover local evidence about the policy but might prefer not to due to political uncertainty in the policymaker’s adoption threshold. Such uncertainty is detrimental to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244821
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Uncertainty Matters : Evidence from Close Elections
Redl, Chris - 2018
This paper uses a data-rich environment to produce direct econometric estimates of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty for 11 advanced nations. These indices exhibit significant independent variation from popular proxies. Using this new data we control for both first and second moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920815