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Using a news-based index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), we find that EPU is positively associated with credit default swap (CDS) spreads and negatively associated with the number of liquidity providers in the CDS market. A 10% increase in EPU leads to an 8.4% increase in CDS spreads and a...
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Building on recent work incorporating recovery risk into structural models we consider the Black-Cox model with an added recovery risk driver. The recovery risk driver arises naturally in the context of imperfect information implicit in the structural framework. This leads to a two-factor...
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In this work we incorporate recovery risk into Merton's original credit risk model by introducing a separate risk driver for the recovery process and rationalize this new model within a "partial information" perspective. We show that while adding the recovery risk driver has no impact on...
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The substantial economic transformation required to mitigate and adapt to climate change will lower the value of certain businesses as well as some firms' assets in the not-too-distant future. Firms will need to transition to a less carbon-intensive business model, but may do so at different...
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