Showing 1 - 10 of 19,734
This paper documents the fact that in options markets, the (percentage) implied volatility bid-ask spread increases at … risk in an incomplete market with both directional and volatility risk. We extend this model to multi-periods and show that … the same phenomenon occurs there as well. Two new implications are generated: a volatility level effect and a volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974407
demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important role in determining both oil price volatility and (to a lesser extent) stock … market volatility. An increase in geopolitical risk is associated with positive (negative) oil (stock) returns and is … correlation. This model shows short- and long-term volatility persistence for oil and stock prices, together with spillover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867250
The oil price volatility index (OPVI) is a direct and more accurate measure of oil price uncertainty. The significance … of the crude oil prices volatility index is used in this paper to examine the effects of crude oil uncertainty on the … (−) fluctuations of the crude oil price volatility index (OPVI). Moreover, the paper measure whether the reform of 2012 stimulated the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014515073
We study the relation between equity market uncertainty and the informational efficiency of U.S. equity prices, proxied by the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF. Using the Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016) equity market uncertainty index, we document a negative relation between market uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235836
assets do not exhibit the U-shaped intraday volatility pattern that has been documented for US equities, even if only main … trading hours are considered. Intraday spikes in volatility are driven by the open or close of the market for the respective … volatility patterns, and US macroeconomic news account for a sizable fraction of jump-driven volatility. For some -- but not all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022677
This study introduces a novel index based on expectations concordance for explaining stock-price volatility when novel … market volatility. Lower expectations concordance produces a stabilizing effect wherein the offsetting views reduce market … volatility. The empirical findings hold for ex post and ex ante measures of volatility and for OLS and GARCH estimates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795039
The paper examines the return pattern of the Indian stock market and proposes a model for long term investors by maximizing and minimizing the risk. The rolling compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of the flagship S&P BSE SENSEX index as well as CNX Nifty index is calculated over various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955407
We propose a new time-varying peaks over threshold model to study tail risk dynamics in equity markets: the laws of motion for the parameters are defined through the score-based approach. We apply the model to daily returns from U.S. size-sorted decile stock portfolios and show that large firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972558
volatility of Nikkei 225 stocks. We conclude that there is a positive relationship between economic policy uncertainty and … idiosyncratic volatility. Employing additional uncertainty measures such as monetary, fiscal, trade, and exchange rate policy, we … find similar positive relationships between these policy uncertainty measures and idiosyncratic volatility except for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256689
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502