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This study examines the relationship between components of OCI and analysts' forecasting behaviour, being forecast … negatively associated with forecast accuracy and herding. We also find that available for sale (AFS) amounts are positively … associated with forecast accuracy, herding and analyst following. Together with prior evidence, our findings provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872055
Two ex-ante variables are introduced to characterize the analysts' biased behavior, namely the analysts' disagreement and self-selection in analysts' earnings forecasts. The study investigates the impact of the analysts' disagreement and self-selection on the stock returns. A theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330637
uncertainty, as measured by stock return volatility, analyst earnings forecast dispersion, and analyst earnings forecast error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938674
By decomposing analysts' forecast errors into common and idiosyncratic components, we develop a simple model aimed at … explaining the relationship between forecast uncertainty and analyst dispersion. Under this framework, we propose a new measure … of earnings forecast uncertainty as the sum of dispersion among analysts and the variance of mean forecast errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138826
likely to issue an earnings warning. For good news firms, we do not see this effect. We also examine three forecast … characteristics: forecast horizon, amount of news revealed, and forecast precision. Firms with higher litigation risk tend to issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115872
. We find as litigation risk increases, the propensity to release a delayed forecast until after the market is closed (AMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093502
To provide evidence on the role macroeconomic uncertainty plays in managers' decision to issue management earnings forecasts (MFs) this study develops and tests hypotheses about how such uncertainty affects the issuance and characteristics of MFs. Macroeconomic uncertainty is measured using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940635
uncertainty, as reflected by greater timeliness with no loss in forecast accuracy. In contrast, analysts have greater difficulty … dealing with heightened market uncertainty, as both timeliness and forecast accuracy decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250690
that analysts’ forecast errors increase with EPU, as does the degree of forecast dispersion. Increased error and dispersion … heterogeneity in forecast quality across both analyst and firm characteristics establishes that forecast error and dispersion … sensitive versus policy neutral provide consistent evidence that analyst forecast errors and dispersion increase with EPU, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239675
Firms with lower profitability have lower expected returns because such firms perform better than expected when market volatility increases. The better-than-expected performance arises because unprofitable firms are distressed and volatile, their equity resembles a call option on the assets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855868