This paper incorporates publication uncertainty in a game between researchers and journal editors and examines its effects on quantity and quality of published research. A stylized differential Stackelberg game between journal editors and academic authors is considered, where authors seek to...

This paper incorporates publication uncertainty in a game between researchers and journal editors and examines its effects on quantity and quality of published research. A stylized differential Stackelberg game between journal editors and academic authors is considered, where authors seek to...

Recently there has been renewed debate about the relative merits of VaR and CVaR as measures of financial risk. VaR is not coherent and does not quantify the risk beyond VaR, while CVaR shows some computational instabilities and is not 'elicitable' (Gneiting 2010, Ziegel 2013). It is argued in...

"What is complicated is not necessarily insightful and what is insightful is not necessarily complicated: Risks welcomes simple manuscripts that contribute with insight, outlook, understanding and overview"-a quote from the first editorial of this journal [1]. Good articles are not characterized...

A novel simulation-based methodology is proposed to test the validity of a set of marginal time series models, where the dependence structure between the time series is taken ‘directly' from the observed data. The procedure is useful when one wants to summarize the test results for several...

Humans play important roles in the process of quantifying uncertainty. The participation of humans in this important exercise opens the process to behavioral biases. In this paper, we examine the different types of biases that may occur when quantifying uncertainty using a process-oriented...

If we reassess the rationality question under the assumption that the uncertainty of the natural world is largely unquantifiable, where do we end up? In this article the author argues that we arrive at a statistical, normative, and cognitive theory of ecological rationality. The main casualty of...

If we reassess the rationality question under the assumption that the uncertainty of the natural world is largely unquantifiable, where do we end up? In this article the author argues that we arrive at a statistical, normative, and cognitive theory of ecological rationality. The main casualty of...