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We construct downside variance risk premiums from the crude oil and gold option data and use them as proxies for market downside uncertainty risks. We find that these downside variance risk premiums contain commodity market specifc pricing information. Further- more, the gold market's exposure...
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This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
, (ii) aggregate demand and (iii) oil-specific demand shock, by proposing the Information Criterion model averaging as a … demand shock, and more persistent following an oil specific demand shock …
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utilization at different wind sites, and discuss the properties and estimation procedures for the models. Employing the models to …, the estimation results of both models suggest that they capture key statistical features of the data. We argue how these …
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traditional uncertainty shock into its supply-side and demand-side components. Following the approach by Piffer and Podstawski …
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