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Studies of bond return predictability find a puzzling disparity between strong statistical evidence of return … accounting for important features of bond return models such as time varying parameters, volatility dynamics, and unspanned macro … performance of forecast combinations. Consistent with models featuring unspanned macro factors, our forecasts of future bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972962
is most needed. We examine bond correlation using a broad sample of US corporate bonds. We find bond correlation to be … higher during the financial crisis in 2008. Increased bond correlation results from higher correlation between corporate bond … risk factors. Risk factor correlation increases when investor sentiment worsens. This suggests that corporate bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777926
The covered bond market offers investors an alternative to developed country government securities. The valuation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095068
This paper analyses linkages between green, conventional (corporate and sovereign) bond markets and geopolitical risk … conventional bond markets. Green bond markets are significantly affected by sovereign and corporate bonds in both regimes, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014369613
corporate bond and stock markets. Using a comprehensive bond dataset, we observe a significant momentum effect in corporate bond … returns and bond credit spread changes. The momentum effect in bond total returns, however, is confined to low-grade bonds and … bond credit spread, not the total return, is a more appropriate proxy to examine the response of bond prices to new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918313
In this paper, we empirically explore risk premia in mortgage covered bond markets. Using a large panel data set of … covered bond asset swap spreads, we study the impact of different legal and economic environments. Conducting an in … of high importance for explaining risk premia in covered bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091794
The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for in ation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do so … expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate …. We show that nominal sovereign bond yields for Germany, France, Japan and the United States, reflect, over the more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond returns. The main predictor factors are associated with point … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
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