We examine the short-duration premium using pre-scheduled economic, monetary policy, and earnings announcements. We provide high-frequency evidence that duration premia associated with revisions of economic growth and interest rate expectations are consistent with asset pricing models but cannot...

We examine the role of investor-oriented social media platforms to predict crash risk. Using the investor-level novel data set from StockTwits, we find that sentiment oscillations on StockTwits are significantly and positively related to firm-level future crash risk. These results remain...

In this paper, we propose a cross-sectional option momentum strategy that is based on the risk component of delta-hedged option returns. We find strong evidence of risk continuation in option returns. Specifically, options with a high risk component significantly outperform those with a low risk...

Natural disasters such as hurricanes, floods, heatwaves and wildfires are projected to become more prevalent in the foreseeable future. Climate risk is therefore increasingly recognized as an important factor by policy makers, the investment community, and financial markets. Due to the...

Trading in options with a wide range of exercise prices and a single maturity allows a researcher to extract the market's risk neutral probability density (RND) over the underlying price at expiration. The RND contains investors' beliefs about the true probabilities blended with their risk...

Do illegal insiders internalize legal risk? We address this question with hand-collected data from530 SEC investigations. Using two plausibly exogenous shocks to expected penalties, we showthat insiders trade less aggressively and earlier and concentrate on tips of greater value whenfacing...

By choosing investment strategies that intentionally create exposure to factor betas, investors may be obtaining uncompensated risks. We show across a wide variety of factors and geographical markets that factors constructed from fundamental characteristics have earned high returns, whereas...

An emerging stream of research documents that experience of traumatic events early in a CEO's life influences the firm's investment and financing choices. We extend this research by examining the impact of CEO early-life natural disaster experience on stock price crash risk. Using a longitudinal...

This paper demonstrates that risk-based and behavioral cross-sectional asset pricing anomalies can plausibly coexist. To this end, I build a model in which risk-based value premium exists along with behavioral momentum. The value premium stems from differential exposures of stocks to rare...

This study investigates the impact of return extrapolation on risk-return trade-offs in both the aggregate time series and the cross section of stocks. We find that the relation between the market’s expected return and expected variance is positive during periods with a low degree of...