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Foreign measures of uncertainty, such as the US EPU index, are often used as a proxies for domestic uncertainty in small open economies. We construct an EPU index for Sweden and demonstrate that shocks to the domestic index yield different impulse response functions for GDP growth than shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011574319
We investigate the relative roles of US economic policy uncertainty andglobal risk aversion in contributing to financial and macroeconomic fluctuations in small open economies (SOEs) using a panel of forty SOEs that includes both advanced economies (AEs) and emerging markets economies (EMEs). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897918
Over the past decades, cross-border financial flows have increased in importance and have in many occasions exceeded the underlying current account positions. This phenomenon has been accompanied by an increase in the volume of international equity transactions that accentuate the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970
This paper analyzes the effects of output volatility shocks and of risk appetite shocks on the dynamics of consumption, trade flows and the real exchange rate, in a two-country world with recursive preferences and complete financial markets. When the risk aversion coefficient exceeds the inverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970180
This chapter is structured in three parts. The first part outlines the methodological steps, involving both theoretical and empirical work, for assessing whether an observed allocation of resources across countries is efficient. The second part applies the methodology to the long-run allocation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025377
We analyse the effect of the uncertainty about the fundamentals on the probability of sudden stops of capital flows from a theoretical and empirical perspective. Our model predicts that the probability of crises increases with the uncertainty, ie. the dispersion of private signals about the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746213
We study spillover effects of US uncertainty fluctuations using panel data from fifteen emerging market economies (EMEs). A US uncertainty shock negatively affects EME stock prices and exchange rates, raises EME country spreads, and leads to capital outflows from them. Moreover, it decreases EME...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930052
The paper adds to the literature as follows: starting from the benchmark model of Asdrubali et al. (1996), we reproduce the original specification with a data set obtained from the authors as well as possible. In a second step, this specification is brought to euro area data. Again, the results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012436572
Over the past decades, cross-border financial flows have increased in importance and have in many occasions exceeded the underlying current account positions. This phenomenon has been accompanied by an increase in the volume of international equity transactions that accentuate the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319734
The U.S. could be the source of the global financial risk because it longs risky assets and shorts safe assets in the international capital market. This paper builds a stylized two-country model to highlight that when the developed country's risk-bearing capacity improves, it holds more foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306985