This paper analyses the formation of international environmental agreements (IEAs) under uncertainty, focusing on the role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and...

This book is a rigorous but practical presentation of the Bayesian techniques of uncertainty quantification, with applications in R. This volume includes mathematical arguments at the level necessary to make the presentation rigorous and the assumptions clearly established, while maintaining a...

In this paper, we tried to highlight all the kinds of temporal uncertainties that AGOA creates on the eligible countries. With a dynamic model in presence of technologic transfers and irreversibility of investments, we found that long run uncertainty has a negative impact not only on investment...

The purpose of this paper is to examine all the kinds of temporal uncertainties that AGOA creates on the eligible countries and the theoretical relationship between these temporal uncertainties and its efficiency. The paper attempts to answer the critical question: does temporal uncertainty of...

Since several years, the fragility of global supply chains (GSCs) is at historically high levels. In the same time, the landscape of hybrid threats is expanding. This paper aims to assess the economies' foreign input reliance and foreign market reliance, identify possible vulnerabilities by...

This paper studies how trade policy uncertainty (TPU) affects the pass-through of import tariff and exchange rate changes into import prices. Little is known about the effects of tariff changes accompanied by TPU on import prices, especially when price rigidities are present. Using a dynamic...