I extend the application of Bandi and Tamoni (2014)'s time series decomposition to other asset classes, such as fixed income, credit and credit derivatives, and other models, such as the Fama and French three factor model. I document a significant increase in R squared from using the...

In this paper, we propose a novel measure of uncertainty based, unlike previous measures, solely on credit market information and on an extensive CDS dataset. More specifically, we use the CDS monthly time-series data of 225 corporate firms to construct a time-varying measure of credit market...

In China, growth will gradually moderate, reflecting intensified policy efforts to address financial vulnerabilities and structural constraints, and place the economy on a more sustainable growth path. In the rest of the region, growth will pick up, as exports firm in line with strengthening...